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Friday, December 15, 2017

Study by Singapore think tank shows BN will keep Johor

mengundi-johor-jdt-1

PETALING JAYA: A study by a Singapore think tank shows that the Barisan Nasional will maintain its hold on Johor in the next general election (GE14), Channel NewsAsia (CNA) reported.
The ISEAS-Yusof Ishak survey of Johor voters in 2017 showed that despite a decline in the level of support for Umno, the main party in the ruling Barisan Nasional (BN) coalition, it would still be enough to win the state.
“Support for Umno and BN may have slipped in recent years, coming down from a high of 70% to 65% in 2008 and 55% in 2013, but it remains strong,” said Francis Hutchinson of ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute, according to the regional news broadcaster.
Hutchinson, who is coordinator for the Malaysia study programme at the institute, said however, that some key urban constituencies now under BN are in danger of falling into opposition hands.
He added such parliamentary seats include Pulai, Pasir Gudang and Tebrau.
Deputy Home Minister Nur Jazlan Mohamad is Pulai MP and Normala Abdul Samad is Pasir Gudang MP while MCA’s Khoo Soo Seang is Tebrau MP. Khoo is not expected to defend his seat in GE14 having quit as Tebrau MCA division chief.
Hutchinson believes that the state is also a “bellwether state for Malaysian politics and voting behaviour”.
Johor, with its 26 parliament seats is expected to be a key battleground in GE14 and Pakatan Harapan (PH) has already indicated that it is focusing on winning the state.
This is especially with PPBM president Muhyiddin Yassin having been a former Johor menteri besar. He was sacked from Umno last year and helped to form PPBM as a Malay party to rival Umno with former prime minister Dr Mahathir Mohamad and several others.
The study, which was presented at a conference hosted by the institute on Wednesday, also showed that 35% of respondents, all of whom were registered voters, said they would vote for BN, compared with less than 10% who would vote for any opposition party.
However, the remaining 55% of respondents wanted to either keep their preference a secret or were still undecided on which party to vote for.
According to CNA, some experts at the conference found that the strong relationship Umno had with its rural vote base was especially affected in recent years and that it cut across a generational gap.
The study showed that in Mersing, where BN’s Abdul Latiff Ahmad is the MP, a growing split is present between older land-owning rural voters and younger rural voters.
“Older voters said they appreciate the generous benefits they receive from Felda, a land settlement agency, and owe all they have to Umno.
“Younger rural voters who work in the towns feel differently. They said jobs are hard to come by and every month is a struggle,” the study said according to CNA. -FMT

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